A new impreMedia/Latino Decisions tracking poll, the last one of 11 weeks of tracking Latino voters, finds President Obama is expected to win a record share of the Latino vote, especially in key battleground states.
“With 11 weeks of tracking, we are headed towards a record level of Latino votes for a Democratic presidential candidate,” stated Matt Barreto, principal investigator for Latino Decisions. “If Latinos turnout at the high rates we are expecting, they could deliver Nevada, Colorado, Florida and Virginia to Obama,” Barreto says.
The poll finds 73 percent of likely Latino voters say they plan to vote for Obama, compared to 24 percent for Mitt Romney; 3 percent are undecided. If Obama wins 73 percent or higher of the Latino vote, says Barreto, this would be higher than the 72 percent obtained by Bill Clinton in his 1996 landslide re-election and the highest total among Latino voters for a Democratic presidential candidate.
In the poll, 55 percent of Latino voters are more enthusiastic about voting in 2012 than in 2008, with 22 percent saying they were more enthusiastic in 2008. Seventy-four percent of likely Latino voters say they are “very enthusiastic” about tomorrow’s election.
“Voter enthusiasm in this election has increased significantly, which is extremely encouraging,” said Monica Lozano, CEO of impreMedia. “All indications are that Latinos are motivated and will turn out in record numbers, proving once again that this electorate is critical for any national candidate to win.” Sixteen percent of Latinos have voted early, the poll finds.
On the economy, 71 percent of likely Latino voters polled say they trust Obama and the Democrats to create jobs and fix the economy, compared to 20 percent of Latinos who trust Governor Romney and the Republican party to improve the economy. ”The constant discussion of the poor state of the economy under Obama by the Romney campaign has done little to persuade Latino voters,” states Barreto.
Sixty-eight percent of Latino voters said they had either voted or planned to vote Democratic in House races, with another 4 percent saying they are leaning toward Democrats in Congressional races.
“During the course of the 11 weeks of tracking, there have been fluctuations in Obama’s favorability and attitudes about key issues among Latinos,” according to the poll’s report, “but overall results indicate the President has retained consistent support, and Latinos report they are likely to turn out in record numbers.”